Most likely acca · Multiple leagues · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 BSTSat Oct 24, 10:00 AM ETSat 24 Oct, 15:00 BST Most likely acca
Most likely acca: 4 legs, 45% combinedMost likely parlay: 4 legs, 45% combinedMost likely acca: 4 legs, 45% combined
By PicksArena · logged Fri 23 Oct, 17:04:47 BSTFri Oct 23, 12:04:47 PM ETFri 23 Oct, 17:04:47 BST
Published after kickoff. Shown for transparency, not counted in the record.Selected 23 Oct, 17:04 UK · commit 092d6c7 · published 24 Oct, 16:13 UK · kickoff 24 Oct, 15:00 UK
Most likely acca · not stakedPending
Most likely acca: 4 legs, 45% combined
A prediction, not a bet. We publish the combined chance and grade ourselves on it.A prediction, not a bet. We publish the combined chance and grade ourselves on it.A prediction, not a bet. We publish the combined chance and grade ourselves on it.
- 1
Stockport or draw · 83%Notts County v Stockport (League One) · Sat 15:00 BSTSat 10:00a ETSat 15:00 BSTThe form guide is lopsided: DWWWW for Stockport over the last five, LLLLW for Notts County. That is 13 points against 3.The form guide is lopsided: DWWWW for Stockport over the last five, LLLLW for Notts County. That is 13 points against 3.The form guide is lopsided: DWWWW for Stockport over the last five, LLLLW for Notts County. That is 13 points against 3.
1.16 - 2
Milan or draw · 82%Udinese v Milan (Serie A) · Sun 19:45 GMTSun 3:45p ETSun 19:45 GMTStrip out the finishing and Milan still look the better side: 1.67 xG for and 1.26 against per game, against 1.15 and 2.16 for Udinese.Strip out the finishing and Milan still look the better side: 1.67 xG for and 1.26 against per game, against 1.15 and 2.16 for Udinese.Strip out the finishing and Milan still look the better side: 1.67 xG for and 1.26 against per game, against 1.15 and 2.16 for Udinese.
1.18 - 3
Toulouse or draw · 81%Toulouse v Troyes (Ligue 1) · Sun 16:15 GMTSun 12:15p ETSun 16:15 GMTOn chances created and conceded, Toulouse average 2.02 xG for and 1.41 against a game this season; Troyes are at 1.24 and 1.77.On chances created and conceded, Toulouse average 2.02 xG for and 1.41 against a game this season; Troyes are at 1.24 and 1.77.On chances created and conceded, Toulouse average 2.02 xG for and 1.41 against a game this season; Troyes are at 1.24 and 1.77.
1.18 - 4
Real Sociedad or draw · 81%Real Sociedad v Levante (La Liga) · Sun 17:30 GMTSun 1:30p ETSun 17:30 GMTReal Sociedad arrive in form (WLWWW, 12 points from five) and Levante do not (LLDDW, 5).Real Sociedad arrive in form (WLWWW, 12 points from five) and Levante do not (LLDDW, 5).Real Sociedad arrive in form (WLWWW, 12 points from five) and Levante do not (LLDDW, 5).
1.20
Combined chance45%
Not staked£10 returns £19.38$10 pays $19.3810 returns 19.38
Fair 2.21 · Best UK price 1.94 BetMGM UKBetMGM UK(UK book, for reference) Chance all 4 land: 45%. A single losing leg sinks it. published Fri 17:04 BSTFri 12:04p ETFri 17:04 BST
Most likely acca · graded so far: 0. Losing runs stay in. Full record
What could go wrong
- It loses roughly 55% of the time, and a single losing leg is enough.It loses roughly 55% of the time, and a single losing leg is enough.It loses roughly 55% of the time, and a single losing leg is enough.
The price
A prediction, not a bet. We publish the combined chance and grade ourselves on it.A prediction, not a bet. We publish the combined chance and grade ourselves on it.A prediction, not a bet. We publish the combined chance and grade ourselves on it.
These are the 4 most likely results on our list from different leagues. Multiplied together they come out at 45%. Accumulators compound the bookmaker margin on every leg, which is why this acca is not staked.These are the 4 most likely results on our list from different leagues. Multiplied together they come out at 45%. Parlays compound the sportsbook margin on every leg, which is why this parlay is not staked.These are the 4 most likely results on our list from different leagues. Multiplied together they come out at 45%. Accumulators compound the bookmaker margin on every leg, which is why this acca is not staked.
The analysis
How it is builtHow it is builtHow it is built
Each leg is a likely outcome where the sharp prices agree. The combined chance assumes the legs are independent, which is reasonable for different matches in different leagues.Each leg is a likely outcome where the sharp prices agree. The combined chance assumes the legs are independent, which is reasonable for different matches in different leagues.Each leg is a likely outcome where the sharp prices agree. The combined chance assumes the legs are independent, which is reasonable for different matches in different leagues.
Why it is not stakedWhy it is not stakedWhy it is not staked
Our current method never stakes an acca. In our backtest of past seasons, no weekend had every leg priced at or above fair, and the bookmaker margin compounds on every leg. So the record grades it on how often a 45% acca lands, with no units.Our current method never stakes a parlay. In our backtest of past seasons, no weekend had every leg priced at or above fair, and the sportsbook margin compounds on every leg. So the record grades it on how often a 45% parlay lands, with no units.Our current method never stakes an acca. In our backtest of past seasons, no weekend had every leg priced at or above fair, and the bookmaker margin compounds on every leg. So the record grades it on how often a 45% acca lands, with no units.
How UK bookies settle this: What happens to your acca if a match is postponedHow UK sportsbooks settle this: What happens to your parlay if a match is postponedHow UK bookies settle this: What happens to your acca if a match is postponed
At most of the bookmakers we checked, a postponed match is made void and your acca settles on the remaining legs, so a treble becomes a double and the odds drop. The difference is how long the match has to be replayed in: same day at Ladbrokes, Coral and BoyleSports, 48 hours at William Hill, Unibet and Betfred, 3 days at Sky Bet and Paddy Power, and 5 days at bet365. 888sport may void a bet if the match does not start within 24 hours (each from its own rules, checked 18 to 22 Oct 2026).
| Bookmaker | Window | If the match is postponed | What happens to the acca |
|---|
| bet365 | 5 days | Treated as a non-runner unless played within 5 days of the original scheduled time. | bet365's Acca Boost terms say a postponed leg comes out and the boost is paid on the winning legs. Its general multiples rule was not on the pages we checked. |
| Sky Bet | Current or next 3 days | Bets stand if the match is played within the current or next 3 days and this is confirmed within 3 hours of the original kick-off. Otherwise void. | Multiples stand on the remaining selections. |
| Paddy Power | Current or next 3 days | Bets stand if the match is played within the current or next 3 days and this is confirmed within 3 hours of the original kick-off. Otherwise void. | Multiples settle on the remaining legs, so a treble becomes a double. |
| William Hill | 48 hours | Void, unless the fixture is rescheduled at the point of postponement and kicks off within 48 hours of the original kick-off. Some finals and tournaments have their own rule. | Settled on the remaining selections, so a treble becomes a double. |
| Ladbrokes | Same day | Void, unless a delayed match takes place the same day (local time at the venue). Fixed-date tournament finals have their own rule. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Coral | Same day | Void, unless a delayed match takes place the same day (local time at the venue). Fixed-date tournament finals have their own rule. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Unibet | 48 hours | Void if postponed or rescheduled more than 48 hours from the last scheduled time, unless stated otherwise. | Not stated on the page we checked. |
| 888sport | 24 hours (may void) | 888sport may void a bet if the match does not start within 24 hours of its official start time. Bet Builders are void unless the match is completed within 48 hours. | The cancelled match is removed and the bet stands on the remaining selections. |
| BoyleSports | Same day | Void unless played the same day. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Betfred | 48 hours | Bets stand if the match is played within 48 hours of the original date and time. Otherwise void, except first goalscorer bets once the first goal is scored and half-time bets once the first half is completed. | The void leg is removed and the stake goes on the remaining selections, so a treble becomes a double. |
Source: BookieRules, from each bookie's own terms. Full rule
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