Huddersfield v Wigan
Huddersfield to beat Wigan: a strong call at a price too short for a stakeHuddersfield to beat Wigan: a strong call at a price too short for a stakeHuddersfield to beat Wigan: a strong call at a price too short for a stake
Why: Huddersfield out-create Wigan: 2.20 v 1.39 xG a gameHuddersfield out-create Wigan: 2.20 v 1.39 xG a gameHuddersfield out-create Wigan: 2.20 v 1.39 xG a game
Moved to Picks of the Weekend (no stake) under our current rules. This was approved as a staked Value bet, but our rules stake a single only at a UK price of at least 1.41 (fair plus 2%). The best we found was 1.40 across 20 books, so it carries no stake and is graded on accuracy.
Picks of the Weekend · graded so far: 0. Losing runs stay in. Full record
Why we're on it
- Chances created and concededChances created and concededChances created and concededHuddersfield create more and allow less. Per game this season: 2.20 xG for and 0.94 against, where Wigan manage 1.39 and give up 1.68.Huddersfield create more and allow less. Per game this season: 2.20 xG for and 0.94 against, where Wigan manage 1.39 and give up 1.68.Huddersfield create more and allow less. Per game this season: 2.20 xG for and 0.94 against, where Wigan manage 1.39 and give up 1.68.
- The tableThe tableThe tableHuddersfield are 2nd of 24 on 22 points from 11; Wigan are 24th on 7 from 10.Huddersfield are 2nd of 24 on 22 points from 11; Wigan are 24th on 7 from 10.Huddersfield are 2nd of 24 on 22 points from 11; Wigan are 24th on 7 from 10.
- Home recordHome recordHome recordAt home Huddersfield have won 3, drawn 2, lost 0 of 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Wigan away: won 0, drawn 1, lost 4 of 5, goals 3-7.At home Huddersfield have won 3, tied 2, lost 0 of 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Wigan away: won 0, tied 1, lost 4 of 5, goals 3-7.At home Huddersfield have won 3, drawn 2, lost 0 of 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Wigan away: won 0, drawn 1, lost 4 of 5, goals 3-7.
- Recent formRecent formRecent formHuddersfield arrive in form (LWDWW, 10 points from five) and Wigan do not (DLLWL, 4).Huddersfield arrive in form (LWDWW, 10 points from five) and Wigan do not (DLLWL, 4).Huddersfield arrive in form (LWDWW, 10 points from five) and Wigan do not (DLLWL, 4).
- Trending upTrending upTrending upHuddersfield are getting better, not just luckier: over the last five they average 2.58 xG for and 0.84 against, better than their season figures of 2.20 and 0.94.Huddersfield are getting better, not just luckier: over the last five they average 2.58 xG for and 0.84 against, better than their season figures of 2.20 and 0.94.Huddersfield are getting better, not just luckier: over the last five they average 2.58 xG for and 0.84 against, better than their season figures of 2.20 and 0.94.
What could go wrong
- Huddersfield are missing three regular starters, including Bojan Radulovic (3 league goals, 4 starts in 12) and Murray Wallace (7 starts in 12).Huddersfield are missing three regular starters, including Bojan Radulovic (3 league goals, 4 starts in 12) and Murray Wallace (7 starts in 12).Huddersfield are missing three regular starters, including Bojan Radulovic (3 league goals, 4 starts in 12) and Murray Wallace (7 starts in 12).
- Radinio Balker (8 starts in 12) is a doubt for Huddersfield.Radinio Balker (8 starts in 12) is a doubt for Huddersfield.Radinio Balker (8 starts in 12) is a doubt for Huddersfield.
The price
Huddersfield to win, 72% likely. The best UK price, 1.40, sits under our 1.41 staking minimum, so it is a Pick of the Weekend, not a Value bet.Huddersfield to win, 72% likely. The best UK price, 1.40, sits under our 1.41 staking minimum, so it is a Pick of the Weekend, not a Value bet.Huddersfield to win, 72% likely. The best UK price, 1.40, sits under our 1.41 staking minimum, so it is a Pick of the Weekend, not a Value bet.
This was approved as a staked Value bet and then failed the stricter staking rule we adopted. Our fair price for a Huddersfield win is 1.38, a 72% chance. The best UK price is 1.40 at Coral, only 1.4% above fair, and the rule needs 1.41 or better before we stake. Pinnacle has shortened from 1.38 to 1.31 since it opened, so the sharp market has grown more confident in Huddersfield since the open and the UK books followed. That leaves a likely result with no bet in it.This was approved as a staked Value bet and then failed the stricter staking rule we adopted. Our fair price for a Huddersfield win is 1.38, a 72% chance. The best UK price is 1.40 at Coral, only 1.4% above fair, and the rule needs 1.41 or better before we stake. Pinnacle has shortened from 1.38 to 1.31 since it opened, so the sharp market has grown more confident in Huddersfield since the open and the UK books followed. That leaves a likely result with no bet in it.This was approved as a staked Value bet and then failed the stricter staking rule we adopted. Our fair price for a Huddersfield win is 1.38, a 72% chance. The best UK price is 1.40 at Coral, only 1.4% above fair, and the rule needs 1.41 or better before we stake. Pinnacle has shortened from 1.38 to 1.31 since it opened, so the sharp market has grown more confident in Huddersfield since the open and the UK books followed. That leaves a likely result with no bet in it.
Prices
These are UK sportsbook prices, shown for reference; US sportsbooks price these games differently. Unstaked prediction. For information: best price across 20 UK books, checked Fri 23 Oct, 16:59:57 BSTFri Oct 23, 11:59:57 AM ETFri 23 Oct, 16:59:57 BST.
| Book | Price (decimal) | £10 returns$10 pays10 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.40 | £14.00$14.0014.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | £13.64$13.6413.64 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.36 | £13.60$13.6013.60 |
| Unibet | 1.34 | £13.40$13.4013.40 |
| Betfair Exchange (after 2% commission) | 1.35 | £13.53$13.5313.53 |
| Fair price (no margin) | 1.38 |
Market move
| Sharp book | Opening (decimal) | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 1.31 | shortened (−4.6%) |
Our chance is the average of the Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange prices with the margin removed. Fair price is one divided by that chance. Picks of the Weekend carry no stake: they are scored on how often they land against the chance we gave, with 1u at the best UK price at publication shown beside it.
The analysis
Team newsInjury reportTeam news
Team news (examinerlive.co.uk, sportsmole.co.uk, weareterriers.com, wigantoday.net, yorkshirepost.co.uk): Huddersfield without Bojan Radulovic, Ryan Ledson, Jack Whatmough, Murray Wallace, Marcus McGuane and Herbie Kane; doubtful: Radinio Balker. Wigan without Fraser Murray; doubtful: Luke Harris, Ryan Trevitt, Dara Costelloe and Max Power. Huddersfield lose captain Ryan Ledson to a ban, but Joe Taylor (8 league goals) is fit.Injury report (examinerlive.co.uk, sportsmole.co.uk, weareterriers.com, wigantoday.net, yorkshirepost.co.uk): Huddersfield without Bojan Radulovic, Ryan Ledson, Jack Whatmough, Murray Wallace, Marcus McGuane and Herbie Kane; doubtful: Radinio Balker. Wigan without Fraser Murray; doubtful: Luke Harris, Ryan Trevitt, Dara Costelloe and Max Power. Huddersfield lose captain Ryan Ledson to a ban, but Joe Taylor (8 league goals) is fit.Team news (examinerlive.co.uk, sportsmole.co.uk, weareterriers.com, wigantoday.net, yorkshirepost.co.uk): Huddersfield without Bojan Radulovic, Ryan Ledson, Jack Whatmough, Murray Wallace, Marcus McGuane and Herbie Kane; doubtful: Radinio Balker. Wigan without Fraser Murray; doubtful: Luke Harris, Ryan Trevitt, Dara Costelloe and Max Power. Huddersfield lose captain Ryan Ledson to a ban, but Joe Taylor (8 league goals) is fit.
Where they standWhere they standWhere they stand
Huddersfield are 2nd of 24 on 22 points from 11 games, with 22 scored and 10 conceded; Wigan are 24th on 7 from 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded. Wigan have scored 7 league goals all season, the kind of number that makes a home favourite look safe, and the market has priced that in.Huddersfield are 2nd of 24 on 22 points from 11 games, with 22 scored and 10 conceded; Wigan are 24th on 7 from 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded. Wigan have scored 7 league goals all season, the kind of number that makes a home favorite look safe, and the market has priced that in.Huddersfield are 2nd of 24 on 22 points from 11 games, with 22 scored and 10 conceded; Wigan are 24th on 7 from 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded. Wigan have scored 7 league goals all season, the kind of number that makes a home favourite look safe, and the market has priced that in.
Home and awayHome and awayHome and away
Huddersfield at home this season: won 3, drawn 2, lost 0, goals 13-5. Wigan away: won 0, drawn 1, lost 4, goals 3-7.Huddersfield at home this season: won 3, drawn 2, lost 0, goals 13-5. Wigan away: won 0, drawn 1, lost 4, goals 3-7.Huddersfield at home this season: won 3, drawn 2, lost 0, goals 13-5. Wigan away: won 0, drawn 1, lost 4, goals 3-7.
The underlying numbersThe underlying numbersThe underlying numbers
Huddersfield's last 5 games have produced 2.58 xG a game for and 0.84 against; Wigan's last 5, 0.74 for and 1.65 against. Our results-only Elo rating has Huddersfield on 1521 and Wigan on 1415, before home advantage.Huddersfield's last 5 games have produced 2.58 xG a game for and 0.84 against; Wigan's last 5, 0.74 for and 1.65 against. Our results-only Elo rating has Huddersfield on 1521 and Wigan on 1415, before home advantage.Huddersfield's last 5 games have produced 2.58 xG a game for and 0.84 against; Wigan's last 5, 0.74 for and 1.65 against. Our results-only Elo rating has Huddersfield on 1521 and Wigan on 1415, before home advantage.
The last few resultsThe last few resultsThe last few results
Huddersfield, most recent first: won 4-1 at home to Peterborough, won 2-0 away at Plymouth, drew 2-2 at home to Sheffield Wednesday, won 3-1 away at Burton, lost 1-2 away at Bromley. Wigan, most recent first: lost 1-2 away at Oxford, won 1-0 at home to Reading, lost 0-1 away at Stevenage, lost 0-1 at home to Wycombe, drew 0-0 away at Sheffield Wednesday.Huddersfield, most recent first: won 4-1 at home to Peterborough, won 2-0 away at Plymouth, tied 2-2 at home to Sheffield Wednesday, won 3-1 away at Burton, lost 1-2 away at Bromley. Wigan, most recent first: lost 1-2 away at Oxford, won 1-0 at home to Reading, lost 0-1 away at Stevenage, lost 0-1 at home to Wycombe, tied 0-0 away at Sheffield Wednesday.Huddersfield, most recent first: won 4-1 at home to Peterborough, won 2-0 away at Plymouth, drew 2-2 at home to Sheffield Wednesday, won 3-1 away at Burton, lost 1-2 away at Bromley. Wigan, most recent first: lost 1-2 away at Oxford, won 1-0 at home to Reading, lost 0-1 away at Stevenage, lost 0-1 at home to Wycombe, drew 0-0 away at Sheffield Wednesday.
What would make it a betWhat would make it a betWhat would make it a bet
For this to become a bet, a UK book would need to offer 1.41 or more, at least 2% above our fair price, but not more than 8% above it, because beyond that the sharp price is usually the stale price. The average UK price would also need to sit at least 1.5% under fair, so we know the wider market agrees with the sharp price. Today the best is 1.40.For this to become a bet, a UK sportsbook would need to offer 1.41 or more, at least 2% above our fair price, but not more than 8% above it, because beyond that the sharp price is usually the stale price. The average UK price would also need to sit at least 1.5% under fair, so we know the wider market agrees with the sharp price. Today the best is 1.40.For this to become a bet, a UK book would need to offer 1.41 or more, at least 2% above our fair price, but not more than 8% above it, because beyond that the sharp price is usually the stale price. The average UK price would also need to sit at least 1.5% under fair, so we know the wider market agrees with the sharp price. Today the best is 1.40.
Where the chance comes fromWhere the chance comes fromWhere the chance comes from
Pinnacle, margin removed, has this at 72%; the Betfair Exchange has 73%. The published chance is their average, 72%. It is in the Picks of the Weekend, our most confident calls: no stake, scored on whether picks at this level land as often as we say, with the result at the best UK price shown beside it, profit or loss.Pinnacle, margin removed, has this at 72%; the Betfair Exchange has 73%. The published chance is their average, 72%. It is in the Picks of the Weekend, our most confident calls: no stake, scored on whether picks at this level land as often as we say, with the result at the best UK price shown beside it, profit or loss.Pinnacle, margin removed, has this at 72%; the Betfair Exchange has 73%. The published chance is their average, 72%. It is in the Picks of the Weekend, our most confident calls: no stake, scored on whether picks at this level land as often as we say, with the result at the best UK price shown beside it, profit or loss.
Preview build. Team news on this page was last checked Fri 23 Oct, 16:20:00 BSTFri Oct 23, 11:20:00 AM ETFri 23 Oct, 16:20:00 BST, more than 12 hours ago. It is re-checked before publication.
Prices: our price feed across 20+ UK books, Pinnacle and the Betfair Exchange, checked Fri 23 Oct, 16:59:57 BSTFri Oct 23, 11:59:57 AM ETFri 23 Oct, 16:59:57 BST. Team news cross-checked against the public sources named above, read Fri 23 Oct, 16:20:00 BSTFri Oct 23, 11:20:00 AM ETFri 23 Oct, 16:20:00 BST. Line-ups: not published yet. Form, goals, xG and the table come from our match data; the strength rating is our own, built from results only. Every number on this page maps to a saved, timestamped source file.
The numbers
How UK bookies settle this: What happens to your acca if a match is postponedHow UK sportsbooks settle this: What happens to your parlay if a match is postponedHow UK bookies settle this: What happens to your acca if a match is postponed
At most of the bookmakers we checked, a postponed match is made void and your acca settles on the remaining legs, so a treble becomes a double and the odds drop. The difference is how long the match has to be replayed in: same day at Ladbrokes, Coral and BoyleSports, 48 hours at William Hill, Unibet and Betfred, 3 days at Sky Bet and Paddy Power, and 5 days at bet365. 888sport may void a bet if the match does not start within 24 hours (each from its own rules, checked 18 to 22 Oct 2026).
| Bookmaker | Window | If the match is postponed | What happens to the acca |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 5 days | Treated as a non-runner unless played within 5 days of the original scheduled time. | bet365's Acca Boost terms say a postponed leg comes out and the boost is paid on the winning legs. Its general multiples rule was not on the pages we checked. |
| Sky Bet | Current or next 3 days | Bets stand if the match is played within the current or next 3 days and this is confirmed within 3 hours of the original kick-off. Otherwise void. | Multiples stand on the remaining selections. |
| Paddy Power | Current or next 3 days | Bets stand if the match is played within the current or next 3 days and this is confirmed within 3 hours of the original kick-off. Otherwise void. | Multiples settle on the remaining legs, so a treble becomes a double. |
| William Hill | 48 hours | Void, unless the fixture is rescheduled at the point of postponement and kicks off within 48 hours of the original kick-off. Some finals and tournaments have their own rule. | Settled on the remaining selections, so a treble becomes a double. |
| Ladbrokes | Same day | Void, unless a delayed match takes place the same day (local time at the venue). Fixed-date tournament finals have their own rule. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Coral | Same day | Void, unless a delayed match takes place the same day (local time at the venue). Fixed-date tournament finals have their own rule. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Unibet | 48 hours | Void if postponed or rescheduled more than 48 hours from the last scheduled time, unless stated otherwise. | Not stated on the page we checked. |
| 888sport | 24 hours (may void) | 888sport may void a bet if the match does not start within 24 hours of its official start time. Bet Builders are void unless the match is completed within 48 hours. | The cancelled match is removed and the bet stands on the remaining selections. |
| BoyleSports | Same day | Void unless played the same day. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Betfred | 48 hours | Bets stand if the match is played within 48 hours of the original date and time. Otherwise void, except first goalscorer bets once the first goal is scored and half-time bets once the first half is completed. | The void leg is removed and the stake goes on the remaining selections, so a treble becomes a double. |
Source: BookieRules, from each bookie's own terms. Full rule