Hull v Ipswich prediction and odds
Not a staked pick and not in our record. This page gives our most likely result with the reasons, the fair price from the sharp market and whether any UK price beats it under our staking rule. Our staked picks are only in this weekend's picks.
No bet. The closest is Hull City to win at 2.62 (William Hill), −4.6% against our fair 2.75. Our rule needs 2.81 or better.
Sharp move on Hull City to win: Pinnacle 2.55 at the open, 2.62 now (drifted 2.7%).
Why we make Hull favourites
Hull win at home is our most likely result at 36%. The reasons:
- Home recordHome recordHome recordThe venue numbers lean one way: Hull won 1, drawn 2, lost 0 at home (4-2), Ipswich won 1, drawn 0, lost 3 away (7-11).The venue numbers lean one way: Hull won 1, tied 2, lost 0 at home (4-2), Ipswich won 1, tied 0, lost 3 away (7-11).The venue numbers lean one way: Hull won 1, drawn 2, lost 0 at home (4-2), Ipswich won 1, drawn 0, lost 3 away (7-11).
What could go wrong
- Hull have conceded more chances than they have created this season (0.97 xG for, 1.49 against a game). The market rates them anyway, but it is a soft spot.Hull have conceded more chances than they have created this season (0.97 xG for, 1.49 against a game). The market rates them anyway, but it is a soft spot.Hull have conceded more chances than they have created this season (0.97 xG for, 1.49 against a game). The market rates them anyway, but it is a soft spot.
- Even at 36%, this misses about 6 times in 10: a draw or an Ipswich win both beat it.Even at 36%, this misses about 6 times in 10: a tie or an Ipswich win both beat it.Even at 36%, this misses about 6 times in 10: a draw or an Ipswich win both beat it.
Our price
UK sportsbook prices, for reference; US sportsbooks price soccer differently. Match result (90 minutes). Chance = average of Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange with the margin removed; fair price = 1 / chance. Best of 17 UK books.
| Selection | Our chance | Fair (decimal) | Best UK price | vs fair | Our rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City to win | 36% | 2.75 | 13/8 William HillWilliam Hill | −4.6% | Needs 2.81 or better |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.55 CasumoCasumo | −1.4% | Chance under 30%: not staked |
| Ipswich Town to win | 36% | 2.79 | 2.65 CasumoCasumo | −5.1% | Needs 2.85 or better |
Sharp market move (opening to now, decimal)
| Selection | Pinnacle | Betfair Exchange |
|---|---|---|
| Hull City to win | 2.55 → 2.62 | 2.68 → 2.68 |
| Draw | 3.40 → 3.40 | 3.60 → 3.55 |
| Ipswich Town to win | 2.65 → 2.65 | 2.62 → 2.74 |
Other UK prices for Hull City to win: Betfred 2.62, 888sport 2.60, Paddy Power 2.60. Average of all 17: 2.55 (−7.3% against fair). Exchanges (before commission): Betfair Exchange 2.66, Smarkets 2.60.
The match in numbers
Hull are 9th of 20 on 9 points from 7 games (goals 8-7); Ipswich are 10th on 9 from 7 (goals 11-15).
Hull at home: won 1, drawn 2, lost 0, goals 4-2. Ipswich away: won 1, drawn 0, lost 3, goals 7-11.
Last five league games, oldest first: Hull DDLDL, Ipswich LWLWL. Season xG per game: Hull 0.97 for, 1.49 against; Ipswich 1.50 for, 2.01 against. Our strength rating: Hull 1553, Ipswich 1615 (the home side gets 60 more).
Prices: our price feed across 17 UK books, Pinnacle and the Betfair Exchange, checked Sat 24 Oct, 13:31:30 BSTSat Oct 24, 8:31:30 AM ETSat 24 Oct, 13:31:30 BST. Table, form, goals and xG come from our match data (league results up to 2026-10-19); the strength rating is our own, built from results only. Team news is not checked for these pages. Prices move: check yours before you bet.