Coventry v Sunderland prediction and odds
Not a staked pick and not in our record. This page gives our most likely result with the reasons, the fair price from the sharp market and whether any UK price beats it under our staking rule. Our staked picks are only in this weekend's picks.
No bet. The closest is Coventry City to win at 2.80 (Casumo), −3.7% against our fair 2.91. Our rule needs 2.97 or better.
Sharp move on Coventry City to win: Pinnacle 2.77 at the open, 2.73 now (shortened 1.4%).
Why we make Sunderland favourites
Sunderland win away is our most likely result at 37%. The reasons:
What could go wrong
- Sunderland have conceded more chances than they have created this season (1.51 xG for, 2.04 against a game). The market rates them anyway, but it is a soft spot.Sunderland have conceded more chances than they have created this season (1.51 xG for, 2.04 against a game). The market rates them anyway, but it is a soft spot.Sunderland have conceded more chances than they have created this season (1.51 xG for, 2.04 against a game). The market rates them anyway, but it is a soft spot.
- The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 2.45 and is 2.53 now.The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 2.45 and is 2.53 now.The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 2.45 and is 2.53 now.
Our price
UK sportsbook prices, for reference; US sportsbooks price soccer differently. Match result (90 minutes). Chance = average of Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange with the margin removed; fair price = 1 / chance. Best of 17 UK books.
| Selection | Our chance | Fair (decimal) | Best UK price | vs fair | Our rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City to win | 34% | 2.91 | 2.80 CasumoCasumo | −3.7% | Needs 2.97 or better |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | 5/2 CasumoCasumo | −1.0% | Chance under 30%: not staked |
| Sunderland to win | 37% | 2.68 | 2.55 UnibetUnibet | −4.8% | Needs 2.74 or better |
Sharp market move (opening to now, decimal)
| Selection | Pinnacle | Betfair Exchange |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City to win | 2.77 → 2.73 | 2.78 → 2.88 |
| Draw | 3.39 → 3.42 | 3.50 → 3.40 |
| Sunderland to win | 2.45 → 2.53 | 2.68 → 2.64 |
Other UK prices for Coventry City to win: Grosvenor 2.80, William Hill 2.80, Betfred 2.80. Average of all 17: 2.73 (−6.1% against fair). Exchanges (before commission): Betfair Exchange 2.88, Smarkets 2.86.
The match in numbers
Coventry are 17th of 20 on 6 points from 7 games (goals 6-14); Sunderland are 20th on 4 from 7 (goals 6-14).
Coventry at home: won 1, drawn 0, lost 2, goals 4-7. Sunderland away: won 0, drawn 1, lost 3, goals 5-10.
Last five league games, oldest first: Coventry LLWWL, Sunderland DLLLL. Season xG per game: Coventry 1.02 for, 1.62 against; Sunderland 1.51 for, 2.04 against. Our strength rating: Coventry 1622, Sunderland 1600 (the home side gets 60 more).
Prices: our price feed across 17 UK books, Pinnacle and the Betfair Exchange, checked Sat 24 Oct, 13:31:30 BSTSat Oct 24, 8:31:30 AM ETSat 24 Oct, 13:31:30 BST. Table, form, goals and xG come from our match data (league results up to 2026-10-19); the strength rating is our own, built from results only. Team news is not checked for these pages. Prices move: check yours before you bet.