Brentford v Nottingham Forest prediction and odds
Not a staked pick and not in our record. This page gives our most likely result with the reasons, the fair price from the sharp market and whether any UK price beats it under our staking rule. Our staked picks are only in this weekend's picks.
No bet. The closest is Brentford to win at 2.05 (Unibet), −1.8% against our fair 2.09. Our rule needs 2.14 or better.
Sharp move on Brentford to win: Pinnacle 1.85 at the open, 2.00 now (drifted 7.9%).
Why we make Brentford favourites
Brentford win at home is our most likely result at 48%. The reasons:
- The tableThe tableThe tableBrentford are 6th of 20 on 10 points from 7; Nottingham Forest are 19th on 5 from 7.Brentford are 6th of 20 on 10 points from 7; Nottingham Forest are 19th on 5 from 7.Brentford are 6th of 20 on 10 points from 7; Nottingham Forest are 19th on 5 from 7.
- Home recordHome recordHome recordAt home Brentford have won 2, drawn 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Nottingham Forest away: won 1, drawn 1, lost 1 of 3, goals 5-6.At home Brentford have won 2, tied 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Nottingham Forest away: won 1, tied 1, lost 1 of 3, goals 5-6.At home Brentford have won 2, drawn 1, lost 1 of 4, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Nottingham Forest away: won 1, drawn 1, lost 1 of 3, goals 5-6.
What could go wrong
- The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 1.85 and is 2.00 now.The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 1.85 and is 2.00 now.The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 1.85 and is 2.00 now.
- Brentford's chance numbers have dipped lately: 1.26 xG for and 1.65 against over the last five, worse than their season average.Brentford's chance numbers have dipped lately: 1.26 xG for and 1.65 against over the last five, worse than their season average.Brentford's chance numbers have dipped lately: 1.26 xG for and 1.65 against over the last five, worse than their season average.
Our price
UK sportsbook prices, for reference; US sportsbooks price soccer differently. Match result (90 minutes). Chance = average of Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange with the margin removed; fair price = 1 / chance. Best of 17 UK books.
| Selection | Our chance | Fair (decimal) | Best UK price | vs fair | Our rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford to win | 48% | 2.09 | 21/20 UnibetUnibet | −1.8% | Needs 2.14 or better |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | 3.85 CasumoCasumo | −3.0% | Chance under 30%: not staked |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 27% | 3.71 | 13/5 Bet365Bet365 | −3.1% | Chance under 30%: not staked |
Sharp market move (opening to now, decimal)
| Selection | Pinnacle | Betfair Exchange |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford to win | 1.85 → 2.00 | 1.99 → 2.02 |
| Draw | 3.79 → 3.79 | 3.85 → 3.85 |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 3.78 → 3.41 | 3.50 → 3.75 |
Other UK prices for Brentford to win: William Hill 2.05, Casumo 2.04, 888sport 2.00. Average of all 17: 1.99 (−4.5% against fair). Exchanges (before commission): Betfair Exchange 2.02, Smarkets 2.00.
The match in numbers
Brentford are 6th of 20 on 10 points from 7 games (goals 13-8); Nottingham Forest are 19th on 5 from 7 (goals 5-9).
Brentford at home: won 2, drawn 1, lost 1, goals 8-3. Nottingham Forest away: won 1, drawn 1, lost 1, goals 5-6.
Last five league games, oldest first: Brentford DDWDL, Nottingham Forest DWLLL. Season xG per game: Brentford 1.68 for, 1.46 against; Nottingham Forest 1.64 for, 1.19 against. Our strength rating: Brentford 1668, Nottingham Forest 1612 (the home side gets 60 more).
Prices: our price feed across 17 UK books, Pinnacle and the Betfair Exchange, checked Sat 24 Oct, 13:31:30 BSTSat Oct 24, 8:31:30 AM ETSat 24 Oct, 13:31:30 BST. Table, form, goals and xG come from our match data (league results up to 2026-10-19); the strength rating is our own, built from results only. Team news is not checked for these pages. Prices move: check yours before you bet.