Walsall v Salford prediction and odds
Not a staked pick and not in our record. This page gives our most likely result with the reasons, the fair price from the sharp market and whether any UK price beats it under our staking rule. Our staked picks are only in this weekend's picks.
No bet. The closest is Salford City to win at 2.15 (Sky Bet), −2.1% against our fair 2.20. Our rule needs 2.25 or better.
Sharp move on Salford City to win: Pinnacle 1.99 at the open, 2.06 now (drifted 3.5%).
Why we make Salford favourites
Salford win away is our most likely result at 46%. The reasons:
- Recent formRecent formRecent formSalford arrive in form (WWWWW, 15 points from five) and Walsall do not (WDDDW, 9).Salford arrive in form (WWWWW, 15 points from five) and Walsall do not (WDDDW, 9).Salford arrive in form (WWWWW, 15 points from five) and Walsall do not (WDDDW, 9).
- Trending upTrending upTrending upSalford are getting better, not just luckier: over the last five they average 1.22 xG for and 0.72 against, better than their season figures of 1.14 and 1.02.Salford are getting better, not just luckier: over the last five they average 1.22 xG for and 0.72 against, better than their season figures of 1.14 and 1.02.Salford are getting better, not just luckier: over the last five they average 1.22 xG for and 0.72 against, better than their season figures of 1.14 and 1.02.
- Strength gapStrength gapStrength gapOur results-based strength rating has Salford on 1487 and Walsall on 1411: a 76-point gap before home advantage is counted.Our results-based strength rating has Salford on 1487 and Walsall on 1411: a 76-point gap before home advantage is counted.Our results-based strength rating has Salford on 1487 and Walsall on 1411: a 76-point gap before home advantage is counted.
What could go wrong
- Walsall are strong at home: won 3, drawn 2, lost 0 there, 11 points from 5.Walsall are strong at home: won 3, tied 2, lost 0 there, 11 points from 5.Walsall are strong at home: won 3, drawn 2, lost 0 there, 11 points from 5.
- The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 1.99 and is 2.06 now.The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 1.99 and is 2.06 now.The sharp market has gone the other way: Pinnacle opened at 1.99 and is 2.06 now.
Our price
UK sportsbook prices, for reference; US sportsbooks price soccer differently. Match result (90 minutes). Chance = average of Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange with the margin removed; fair price = 1 / chance. Best of 19 UK books.
| Selection | Our chance | Fair (decimal) | Best UK price | vs fair | Our rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to win | 29% | 3.44 | 12/5 CoralCoral | −1.1% | Chance under 30%: not staked |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | 11/4 BetwayBetway | −4.7% | Chance under 30%: not staked |
| Salford City to win | 46% | 2.20 | 2.15 Sky BetSky Bet | −2.1% | Needs 2.25 or better |
Sharp market move (opening to now, decimal)
| Selection | Pinnacle | Betfair Exchange |
|---|---|---|
| Walsall to win | 3.38 → 3.18 | now 3.30 |
| Draw | 3.59 → 3.77 | now 3.65 |
| Salford City to win | 1.99 → 2.06 | now 2.08 |
Other UK prices for Salford City to win: Casumo 2.10, Paddy Power 2.10, Unibet 2.10. Average of all 19: 2.06 (−6.1% against fair). Exchanges (before commission): Betfair Exchange 2.16, Smarkets 2.10, Matchbook 2.18.
The match in numbers
Walsall are 4th of 24 on 19 points from 11 games (goals 16-7); Salford are 1st on 25 from 12 (goals 19-12).
Walsall at home: won 3, drawn 2, lost 0, goals 8-2. Salford away: won 3, drawn 1, lost 2, goals 12-9.
Last five league games, oldest first: Walsall WDDDW, Salford WWWWW. Season xG per game: Walsall 1.49 for, 1.44 against; Salford 1.14 for, 1.02 against. Our strength rating: Walsall 1411, Salford 1487 (the home side gets 60 more).
Prices: our price feed across 19 UK books, Pinnacle and the Betfair Exchange, checked Sat 24 Oct, 13:31:31 BSTSat Oct 24, 8:31:31 AM ETSat 24 Oct, 13:31:31 BST. Table, form, goals and xG come from our match data (league results up to 2026-10-20); the strength rating is our own, built from results only. Team news is not checked for these pages. Prices move: check yours before you bet.