Liverpool v Brighton
Anfield, LiverpoolWhy we like it
Brighton have won four league games in a row (5-0, 3-0, 2-0, 5-0) after a 1-1 draw, with 19 goals in their last six. Only Man City have taken more points from the last five rounds.
Liverpool have kept things tight, 6 conceded in six, but have scored only 7 in that run and lost 3-0 two games ago.
At 12/5 the price implies about 29%. The sharp market without its margin is about 30% and our model is well above that. Anfield is a hard place to win, so this is a price call, not a prediction that Brighton are favourites.
The numbers
What could go wrong
Liverpool at home are still the more likely winners, and a hot streak can end any week.
Corrections
Write-up corrected Fri 23 Oct, 15:07 BSTFri Oct 23, 10:07 AM ETFri 23 Oct, 15:07 BST: Removed 'the best form in the league' (Man City have more points from the last five rounds, 15 to Brighton's 13). The pick, price and stake were not changed.
Write-up corrected Fri 23 Oct, 15:07 BSTFri Oct 23, 10:07 AM ETFri 23 Oct, 15:07 BST: Removed unverified claim that Brighton's run 'came partly against weaker sides'. The pick, price and stake were not changed.
How UK bookies settle this: What happens to your acca if a match is postponed
At most of the bookmakers we checked, a postponed match is made void and your acca settles on the remaining legs, so a treble becomes a double and the odds drop. The difference is how long the match has to be replayed in: same day at Ladbrokes, Coral and BoyleSports, 48 hours at William Hill, Unibet and Betfred, 3 days at Sky Bet and Paddy Power, and 5 days at bet365. 888sport may void a bet if the match does not start within 24 hours (each from its own rules, checked 18 to 22 Oct 2026).
| Bookmaker | Window | If the match is postponed | What happens to the acca |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 5 days | Treated as a non-runner unless played within 5 days of the original scheduled time. | bet365's Acca Boost terms say a postponed leg comes out and the boost is paid on the winning legs. Its general multiples rule was not on the pages we checked. |
| Sky Bet | Current or next 3 days | Bets stand if the match is played within the current or next 3 days and this is confirmed within 3 hours of the original kick-off. Otherwise void. | Multiples stand on the remaining selections. |
| Paddy Power | Current or next 3 days | Bets stand if the match is played within the current or next 3 days and this is confirmed within 3 hours of the original kick-off. Otherwise void. | Multiples settle on the remaining legs, so a treble becomes a double. |
| William Hill | 48 hours | Void, unless the fixture is rescheduled at the point of postponement and kicks off within 48 hours of the original kick-off. Some finals and tournaments have their own rule. | Settled on the remaining selections, so a treble becomes a double. |
| Ladbrokes | Same day | Void, unless a delayed match takes place the same day (local time at the venue). Fixed-date tournament finals have their own rule. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Coral | Same day | Void, unless a delayed match takes place the same day (local time at the venue). Fixed-date tournament finals have their own rule. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Unibet | 48 hours | Void if postponed or rescheduled more than 48 hours from the last scheduled time, unless stated otherwise. | Not stated on the page we checked. |
| 888sport | 24 hours (may void) | 888sport may void a bet if the match does not start within 24 hours of its official start time. Bet Builders are void unless the match is completed within 48 hours. | The cancelled match is removed and the bet stands on the remaining selections. |
| BoyleSports | Same day | Void unless played the same day. | A void selection is treated as a non-runner and the stake runs on to the remaining selections. |
| Betfred | 48 hours | Bets stand if the match is played within 48 hours of the original date and time. Otherwise void, except first goalscorer bets once the first goal is scored and half-time bets once the first half is completed. | The void leg is removed and the stake goes on the remaining selections, so a treble becomes a double. |
Source: BookieRules, from each bookie's own terms. Full rule