Compare actual hit rates vs bookmaker implied probability across 51 leagues and every 0.2 odds band. Red = market overprices the outcome. Green = market underprices it.
| League | 1.0-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 | 1.4-1.6 | 1.6-1.8 | 1.8-2.0 | 2.0-2.2 | 2.2-2.4 | 2.4-2.6 | 2.6-2.8 | 2.8-3.0 | 3.0-3.2 | 3.2-3.4 | 3.4-3.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | -16 | -7 | +2 | -7 | -3 | -1 | +3 | +2 | +5 | -1 | +4 | ||
| Europa Conference League | +2 | -12 | -2 | -7 | +5 | +6 | -11 | +12 | -7 | +1 | +2 | ||
| Liga Profesional de Fútbol | +1 | -2 | -14 | -6 | -11 | -12 | 0 | -9 | -1 | -9 | |||
| Premier League | +4 | +6 | -1 | -7 | +3 | +4 | -1 | +6 | -9 | +6 | -3 | ||
| Major League Soccer | -0 | -2 | -0 | +1 | +6 | +5 | +5 | -2 | |||||
| Serie A (Italy) | +6 | +6 | +10 | +7 | +4 | +1 | +4 | -5 | -2 | +2 | |||
| 2. Bundesliga | -3 | +7 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +8 | -2 | -1 | ||||
| Ligue 2 | 0 | +13 | +1 | +3 | -4 | -4 | +1 | -4 | -3 | ||||
| Super Lig | +17 | +12 | +10 | +5 | +3 | -1 | +2 | -3 | -0 | -3 | -8 | ||
| Serie B | -2 | +1 | +8 | +2 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +0 | -8 | ||||
| Ligue 1 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -12 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +10 | ||
| La Liga | -6 | -7 | +5 | +3 | +10 | +13 | +2 | -0 | -4 | -8 | +1 | ||
| La Liga 2 | +4 | +8 | +1 | -11 | -5 | +5 | +0 | +4 | |||||
| Bundesliga | -5 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +4 | +8 | +8 | -14 | +5 | +3 | ||
| Eredivisie | -3 | -1 | +6 | -3 | -5 | -2 | -2 | +8 | +1 | +11 | -6 | ||
| Ekstraklasa | 0 | -6 | -5 | -6 | -16 | +9 | +4 | -0 | +1 | +3 | |||
| Liga MX | +5 | +3 | -1 | -9 | -4 | +11 | +3 | +9 | -1 | ||||
| Liga Portugal | +7 | +2 | +6 | +7 | +8 | +10 | -7 | +6 | -2 | -11 | |||
| Serie A (Brazil) | -2 | +9 | +5 | -8 | +2 | -8 | +16 | -4 | +11 | ||||
| FA Cup | +4 | -5 | +6 | -14 | +4 | 0 | +10 | +20 | -2 | -0 | -4 | ||
| Superliga (Romania) | -7 | 0 | +5 | -5 | -7 | -7 | +6 | -6 | -4 | ||||
| Allsvenskan | +15 | -2 | -10 | +6 | +10 | -2 | +5 | +16 | +6 | +9 | |||
| Champions League | +1 | -5 | +6 | +6 | +3 | +6 | +5 | -2 | +3 | +13 | |||
| Premiership | +6 | -1 | -1 | -19 | -11 | +3 | -5 | -11 | +17 | -4 | |||
| Eliteserien | +2 | -7 | -8 | +6 | +11 | +1 | -4 | +13 | +13 | -5 | |||
| Admiral Bundesliga | -1 | -16 | +2 | +9 | -13 | +6 | -10 | +7 | +1 | ||||
| Europa League | -6 | +8 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +13 | +0 | -8 | +7 | ||||
| Super League (Switzerland) | -4 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -9 | +9 | -3 | +6 | |||||
| Superliga (Denmark) | +1 | -6 | +5 | -1 | +6 | -1 | -0 | +9 | +6 | ||||
| Veikkausliiga | +17 | +8 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +12 | +1 | +9 | |||||
| Copa Del Rey | +7 | +7 | +12 | +16 | |||||||||
| Copa do Brasil | +3 | -1 | -17 | ||||||||||
| Coupe de France | +3 | +13 | +13 | ||||||||||
| Copa Sudamericana | |||||||||||||
| Copa Libertadores | -7 | ||||||||||||
| Carabao Cup | |||||||||||||
| DFB Pokal | +5 | +3 | |||||||||||
| Superliga | |||||||||||||
| Super League | |||||||||||||
| Copa Argentina | |||||||||||||
| Coppa Italia | |||||||||||||
| Liga 1 |
Minimum 30 matches per cell. Grey cells = insufficient data.