Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Lanús

Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Monday, 2 March 2026 · 00:30

Defensa y Justicia

#7 · 11pts

1-1

FTDraw

Lanús

#10 · 8pts

2 goals · Under 2.5BTTS: YesHT: 1-1

Market Verdict

1/3 correct

Did the market get this match right? Here's how odds implied probabilities compared to the actual outcome.

Over/Under 2.5Market Correct

Under 2.5(2 goals)

Market favored Under 2.5

Full-Time ResultMarket Wrong

Draw

Market favored Home Win — the actual result was Draw

Both Teams to ScoreMarket Wrong

Yes

Market favored No — the actual result was Yes

Match Statistics

Defensa y JusticiaMatch StatsLanús

45%Possession55%

12Total Shots10

5Shots on Target3

4Corners5

7Fouls9

Odds

Full-Time Result

Home2.4

Draw3.1

Away3.2

Over / Under 2.5

Over2.7

Under1.44

Both Teams to Score

Yes2.2

No1.61

Corners O/U 9.5

Over2.31

Under1.55

Cards O/U 4.5

Over1.66

Historical Odds Analysis

How often did this odds band produce Over/Under across all historical matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol?

Over 2.5band 2.6-2.8 · 370 matches

-0.4%

Implied probability36.9%

Actual hit rate36.5%

This outcome hits 0.4% less often than the odds suggest — the market may be overpricing over 2.5 in this band.

Under 2.5band 1.4-1.6 · 977 matches

+2.4%

Implied probability65.6%

Actual hit rate68.0%

This outcome hits 2.4% more often than the odds suggest — the market may be underpricing under 2.5 in this band.

Recent Form

Defensa y Justicia (Home)

DDDWD

Date	Opponent	V	Score	Res
2026-02-24	Platense	A	0-0	D
2026-02-20	Belgrano	H	1-1	D
2026-02-14	Vélez Sarsfield	H	1-1	D
2026-02-08	Newell's Old Boys	A	2-3	W

League Table Context