Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Barracas Central

Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Sunday, 1 March 2026 · 22:15

Argentinos Juniors

#8 · 8pts

1-1

FTDraw

Barracas Central

#10 · 8pts

2 goals · Under 2.5BTTS: YesHT: 0-1

Market Verdict

1/3 correct

Did the market get this match right? Here's how odds implied probabilities compared to the actual outcome.

Over/Under 2.5Market Correct

Under 2.5(2 goals)

Market favored Under 2.5

Full-Time ResultMarket Wrong

Draw

Market favored Home Win — the actual result was Draw

Both Teams to ScoreMarket Wrong

Yes

Market favored No — the actual result was Yes

Match Statistics

Argentinos JuniorsMatch StatsBarracas Central

73%Possession27%

19Total Shots13

8Shots on Target5

7Corners1

7Fouls8

Odds

Full-Time Result

Home1.36

Draw4.33

Away12

Over / Under 2.5

Over2.35

Under1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes3

No1.36

Corners O/U 9.5

Over2.57

Under1.48

Cards O/U 4.5

Over1.83

Historical Odds Analysis

How often did this odds band produce Over/Under across all historical matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol?

Over 2.5band 2.2-2.4 · 338 matches

-3.3%

Implied probability43.2%

Actual hit rate39.9%

This outcome hits 3.3% less often than the odds suggest — the market may be overpricing over 2.5 in this band.

Under 2.5band 1.4-1.6 · 977 matches

+2.4%

Implied probability65.6%

Actual hit rate68.0%

This outcome hits 2.4% more often than the odds suggest — the market may be underpricing under 2.5 in this band.

Recent Form

Argentinos Juniors (Home)

LWWLD

Date	Opponent	V	Score	Res
2026-02-26	Barcelona Guayaquil	H	0-1	L
2026-02-19	Barcelona Guayaquil	A	0-1	W
2026-02-13	River Plate	H	1-0	W
2026-02-07	Racing Club	A	2-1	L

League Table Context