Zagłębie Lubin 2-0 Wisła Płock

Ekstraklasa · Monday, 2 March 2026 · 18:00

Zagłębie Lubin

#3 · 35pts

2-0

FTHome Win

Wisła Płock

#6 · 33pts

2 goals · Under 2.5BTTS: NoHT: 1-0

Market Verdict

2/3 correct

Did the market get this match right? Here's how odds implied probabilities compared to the actual outcome.

Over/Under 2.5Market Correct

Under 2.5(2 goals)

Market favored Under 2.5

Full-Time ResultMarket Correct

Home Win

Market favored Home Win

Both Teams to ScoreMarket Wrong

Market favored Yes — the actual result was No

Match Statistics

Zagłębie LubinMatch StatsWisła Płock

34%Possession66%

11Total Shots20

4Shots on Target4

1Corners5

10Fouls5

Odds

Full-Time Result

Home2.5

Draw3

Away2.75

Over / Under 2.5

Over2.25

Under1.61

Both Teams to Score

Yes1.95

No1.8

Corners O/U 9.5

Over1.9

Under1.82

Historical Odds Analysis

How often did this odds band produce Over/Under across all historical matches in Ekstraklasa?

Over 2.5band 2.2-2.4 · 222 matches

-2.5%

Implied probability43.5%

Actual hit rate41.0%

This outcome hits 2.5% less often than the odds suggest — the market may be overpricing over 2.5 in this band.

Under 2.5band 1.6-1.8 · 269 matches

+6.4%

Implied probability57.5%

Actual hit rate63.9%

This outcome hits 6.4% more often than the odds suggest — the market may be underpricing under 2.5 in this band.

Recent Form

Zagłębie Lubin (Home)

WDWLW

Date	Opponent	V	Score	Res
2026-02-23	Lechia Gdańsk	A	0-2	W
2026-02-14	Raków Częstochowa	H	0-0	D
2026-02-06	Korona Kielce	A	1-2	W
2026-01-30	Katowice	H	0-2	L

League Table Context