773 matches | 2021-07-04 → 2025-11-09
Avg Goals
2.82
Over 2.5 Rate
56.8%
Home Win Rate
42.9%
Draw Rate
23%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 72 | 72.2% | 65.8% | +6.4% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 197 | 62.9% | 58.3% | +4.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 179 | 56.4% | 52.2% | +4.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 161 | 52.8% | 47.5% | +5.3% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 95 | 49.5% | 43.4% | +6.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 48 | 37.5% | 40.1% | -2.6% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 123 | 55.3% | 57.5% | -2.2% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 152 | 49.3% | 52.2% | -2.9% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 185 | 41.6% | 47.6% | -6% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 111 | 41.4% | 43.4% | -2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 94 | 40.4% | 39.9% | +0.5% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 39 | 25.6% | 37.1% | -11.5% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 24 | 29.2% | 34.4% | -5.2% |
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