Superliga (Denmark)

783 matches | 2021-07-16 → 2025-07-28

Avg Goals

2.85

Over 2.5 Rate

53.9%

Home Win Rate

41.1%

Draw Rate

27.8%

Lay Away — Odds Band Breakdown

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.6-1.8	31	58.1%	57.4%	+0.7%
1.8-2.0	35	45.7%	52%	-6.3%
2.0-2.2	46	52.2%	47.2%	+5%
2.2-2.4	60	41.7%	43%	-1.3%
2.4-2.6	53	45.3%	39.7%	+5.6%
2.6-2.8	39	35.9%	36.6%	-0.7%
2.8-3.0	41	34.1%	34.2%	-0.1%
3.0-3.2	51	41.2%	32.1%	+9.1%
3.2-3.4	36	36.1%	30.1%	+6%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
3.2-3.4	29	44.8%	30.1%	+14.7%
3.4-3.6	26	23.1%	28.9%	-5.8%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.2-1.4	27	74.1%	75%	-0.9%
1.4-1.6	63	66.7%	65.6%	+1.1%
1.6-1.8	98	60.2%	58%	+2.2%
1.8-2.0	75	57.3%	52%	+5.3%
2.0-2.2	75	45.3%	47.1%	-1.8%
2.2-2.4	65	43.1%	43.1%	0%
2.4-2.6	62	29%	39.5%	-10.5%
2.6-2.8	42	33.3%	36.9%	-3.6%
2.8-3.0	49	28.6%	34.4%	-5.8%
3.0-3.2	29	27.6%	32%	-4.4%
3.2-3.4	37	27%	30.1%	-3.1%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.4-1.6	58	69%	64.9%	+4.1%
1.6-1.8	263	56.3%	58%	-1.7%
1.8-2.0	278	55.8%	52.4%	+3.4%
2.0-2.2	126	43.7%	47.9%	-4.2%
2.2-2.4	43	41.9%	43.6%	-1.7%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.6-1.8	47	61.7%	57.1%	+4.6%
1.8-2.0	113	55.8%	51.7%	+4.1%
2.0-2.2	250	44.4%	47.2%	-2.8%
2.2-2.4	185	45.4%	43.5%	+1.9%
2.4-2.6	115	41.7%	39.9%	+1.8%
2.6-2.8	41	41.5%	37%	+4.5%

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