260 matches | 2025-08-01 → 2026-02-16
Avg Goals
2.7
Over 2.5 Rate
50%
Home Win Rate
45.8%
Draw Rate
21.2%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.2 | 28 | 32.1% | 32% | +0.1% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 25 | 20% | 30.2% | -10.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 25 | 72% | 58.4% | +13.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 36 | 58.3% | 52.4% | +5.9% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 22 | 72.7% | 64.8% | +7.9% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 68 | 57.4% | 58.2% | -0.8% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 46 | 60.9% | 53.1% | +7.8% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 40 | 47.5% | 47.4% | +0.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 26 | 23.1% | 43.8% | -20.7% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 24 | 37.5% | 40% | -2.5% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 46 | 63% | 58.5% | +4.5% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 47 | 59.6% | 52.4% | +7.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 31 | 45.2% | 47.3% | -2.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 48 | 39.6% | 43.4% | -3.8% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 35 | 48.6% | 39.9% | +8.7% |
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