826 matches | 2021-07-24 → 2026-03-01
Avg Goals
3
Over 2.5 Rate
56.8%
Home Win Rate
44.9%
Draw Rate
27.4%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 189 | 64% | 64.8% | -0.8% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 379 | 52.8% | 58.3% | -5.5% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 168 | 54.8% | 52.6% | +2.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 56 | 55.4% | 48% | +7.4% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8-2.0 | 52 | 44.2% | 51.5% | -7.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 135 | 48.9% | 46.9% | +2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 208 | 43.3% | 43.4% | -0.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 172 | 50% | 40% | +10% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 112 | 40.2% | 36.9% | +3.3% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 63 | 28.6% | 34.5% | -5.9% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 35 | 48.6% | 32.3% | +16.3% |
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