437 matches | 2025-08-02 → 2026-01-26
Avg Goals
N/A
Over 2.5 Rate
46.7%
Home Win Rate
44.2%
Draw Rate
27%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 23 | 78.3% | 57.3% | +21% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 54 | 42.6% | 51.9% | -9.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 76 | 43.4% | 47.3% | -3.9% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 118 | 47.5% | 43.4% | +4.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 77 | 42.9% | 40.2% | +2.7% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 46 | 34.8% | 36.8% | -2% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 30 | 56.7% | 34.5% | +22.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 67 | 50.7% | 63.9% | -13.2% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 174 | 56.9% | 58% | -1.1% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 107 | 53.3% | 52.9% | +0.4% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 55 | 60% | 47.7% | +12.3% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 21 | 28.6% | 43.5% | -14.9% |
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