1,074 matches | 2021-07-31 → 2026-02-15
Avg Goals
2.76
Over 2.5 Rate
52.9%
Home Win Rate
45.6%
Draw Rate
23.8%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0-1.2 | 21 | 71.4% | 84.6% | -13.2% |
| 1.2-1.4 | 72 | 81.9% | 76.3% | +5.6% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 40 | 65% | 66.1% | -1.1% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 35 | 51.4% | 52% | -0.6% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 36 | 27.8% | 47% | -19.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 44 | 31.8% | 43% | -11.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 47 | 42.6% | 39.7% | +2.9% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 50 | 32% | 36.8% | -4.8% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 48 | 22.9% | 34.2% | -11.3% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 41 | 48.8% | 32% | +16.8% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 55 | 25.5% | 29.9% | -4.4% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 21 | 47.6% | 28.9% | +18.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.2 | 40 | 35% | 31.8% | +3.2% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 144 | 29.9% | 30% | -0.1% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 80 | 30% | 28.9% | +1.1% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0-1.2 | 82 | 86.6% | 85.8% | +0.8% |
| 1.2-1.4 | 69 | 81.2% | 77.3% | +3.9% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 44 | 68.2% | 65.1% | +3.1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 82 | 63.4% | 58% | +5.4% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 107 | 55.1% | 52.2% | +2.9% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 76 | 46.1% | 47.5% | -1.4% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 96 | 42.7% | 42.9% | -0.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 80 | 38.8% | 39.7% | -0.9% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 46 | 41.3% | 36.9% | +4.4% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 52 | 42.3% | 34.4% | +7.9% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 47 | 36.2% | 32.1% | +4.1% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 33 | 30.3% | 30.1% | +0.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 48 | 70.8% | 73.2% | -2.4% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 125 | 66.4% | 65.9% | +0.5% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 146 | 59.6% | 58.4% | +1.2% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 175 | 55.4% | 52.1% | +3.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 221 | 54.3% | 47.8% | +6.5% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 164 | 42.7% | 43.3% | -0.6% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 89 | 46.1% | 40.2% | +5.9% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 56 | 35.7% | 37% | -1.3% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 28 | 25% | 34.5% | -9.5% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 70 | 62.9% | 64.5% | -1.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 227 | 57.7% | 57.8% | -0.1% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 235 | 47.7% | 52.1% | -4.4% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 185 | 45.9% | 47.7% | -1.8% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 87 | 41.4% | 43.3% | -1.9% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 64 | 31.2% | 39.9% | -8.7% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 55 | 45.5% | 37% | +8.5% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 42 | 28.6% | 34.5% | -5.9% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 25 | 32% | 32.1% | -0.1% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 24 | 37.5% | 30.2% | +7.3% |
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