1,568 matches | 2021-07-23 → 2026-02-16
Avg Goals
2.72
Over 2.5 Rate
52.1%
Home Win Rate
44.9%
Draw Rate
26.3%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 43 | 62.8% | 57.9% | +4.9% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 59 | 54.2% | 51.5% | +2.7% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 79 | 45.6% | 47% | -1.4% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 75 | 34.7% | 43.2% | -8.5% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 76 | 35.5% | 39.8% | -4.3% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 103 | 47.6% | 36.8% | +10.8% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 77 | 37.7% | 34.4% | +3.3% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 86 | 40.7% | 32% | +8.7% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 65 | 29.2% | 30.1% | -0.9% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 25 | 20% | 28.9% | -8.9% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.2 | 57 | 36.8% | 31.7% | +5.1% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 167 | 32.3% | 30% | +2.3% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 118 | 25.4% | 28.9% | -3.5% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 67 | 80.6% | 74.6% | +6% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 177 | 67.2% | 65.6% | +1.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 168 | 61.9% | 58.1% | +3.8% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 170 | 53.5% | 52.1% | +1.4% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 162 | 46.9% | 47.3% | -0.4% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 147 | 47.6% | 43.2% | +4.4% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 107 | 31.8% | 39.7% | -7.9% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 88 | 35.2% | 36.8% | -1.6% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 85 | 32.9% | 34.3% | -1.4% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 70 | 35.7% | 32% | +3.7% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 62 | 32.3% | 30.1% | +2.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 95 | 68.4% | 64.8% | +3.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 350 | 62% | 58% | +4% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 399 | 52.4% | 52.2% | +0.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 322 | 45.3% | 47.5% | -2.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 203 | 46.3% | 43.5% | +2.8% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 97 | 48.5% | 40.2% | +8.3% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 62 | 33.9% | 37.3% | -3.4% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 21 | 33.3% | 34.4% | -1.1% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 90 | 65.6% | 64% | +1.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 267 | 53.2% | 57.8% | -4.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 337 | 55.2% | 52% | +3.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 353 | 46.2% | 47.5% | -1.3% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 240 | 41.2% | 43.4% | -2.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 160 | 39.4% | 39.9% | -0.5% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 58 | 29.3% | 37% | -7.7% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 30 | 43.3% | 34.5% | +8.8% |
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