2,151 matches | 2021-08-13 → 2026-02-16
Avg Goals
2.33
Over 2.5 Rate
42%
Home Win Rate
44.8%
Draw Rate
29.8%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8-2.0 | 24 | 41.7% | 51.7% | -10% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 45 | 51.1% | 47.2% | +3.9% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 63 | 50.8% | 42.7% | +8.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 94 | 40.4% | 39.9% | +0.5% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 78 | 25.6% | 36.8% | -11.2% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 111 | 29.7% | 34.3% | -4.6% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 125 | 36.8% | 32% | +4.8% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 118 | 30.5% | 30.1% | +0.4% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 52 | 32.7% | 28.9% | +3.8% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8-3.0 | 128 | 42.2% | 33.9% | +8.3% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 524 | 30.7% | 32% | -1.3% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 552 | 31.2% | 30.2% | +1% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 160 | 33.8% | 28.9% | +4.9% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 21 | 81% | 73.7% | +7.3% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 88 | 69.3% | 65% | +4.3% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 238 | 60.1% | 57.9% | +2.2% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 316 | 53.2% | 51.9% | +1.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 303 | 47.5% | 47.3% | +0.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 299 | 45.8% | 43.1% | +2.7% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 203 | 37.9% | 39.7% | -1.8% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 164 | 36% | 36.8% | -0.8% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 127 | 35.4% | 34.3% | +1.1% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 91 | 37.4% | 32.2% | +5.2% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 71 | 28.2% | 30.1% | -1.9% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 26 | 19.2% | 28.8% | -9.6% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 76 | 65.8% | 58% | +7.8% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 150 | 60% | 52% | +8% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 273 | 47.3% | 47.2% | +0.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 356 | 45.5% | 43.2% | +2.3% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 387 | 39.3% | 39.9% | -0.6% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 357 | 37.5% | 37% | +0.5% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 243 | 33.3% | 34.4% | -1.1% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 124 | 36.3% | 32.2% | +4.1% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 106 | 34% | 30.2% | +3.8% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 24 | 33.3% | 28.8% | +4.5% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 49 | 71.4% | 72.5% | -1.1% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 768 | 63.9% | 65.2% | -1.3% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 751 | 59% | 58.6% | +0.4% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 303 | 53.5% | 52.5% | +1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 155 | 41.3% | 47.9% | -6.6% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 66 | 33.3% | 43.5% | -10.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 34 | 38.2% | 40.1% | -1.9% |
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