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DFB Pokal
226 matches | 2021-08-06 → 2026-02-11
Avg Goals
3.67
Over 2.5 Rate
66.8%
Home Win Rate
35.8%
Draw Rate
3.1%
Lay Over 2.5 — Odds Band Breakdown
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 47 | 80.9% | 75.2% | +5.7% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 60 | 70% | 65.9% | +4.1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 64 | 51.6% | 58.6% | -7% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 23 | 60.9% | 52.8% | +8.1% |
Lay Under 2.5 — Odds Band Breakdown
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2-2.4 | 33 | 51.5% | 43.1% | +8.4% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 32 | 43.8% | 39.8% | +4% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 25 | 32% | 36.8% | -4.8% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 21 | 19% | 34.3% | -15.3% |
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