894 matches | 2021-07-23 → 2026-02-15
Avg Goals
2.77
Over 2.5 Rate
53.4%
Home Win Rate
39.3%
Draw Rate
27.7%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 37 | 64.9% | 66.1% | -1.2% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 40 | 42.5% | 58.3% | -15.8% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 57 | 54.4% | 52.3% | +2.1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 52 | 55.8% | 47.3% | +8.5% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 53 | 30.2% | 43.2% | -13% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 52 | 46.2% | 39.9% | +6.3% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 49 | 26.5% | 36.9% | -10.4% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 28 | 39.3% | 34.4% | +4.9% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 46 | 39.1% | 32% | +7.1% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 35 | 31.4% | 30.2% | +1.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.2-3.4 | 51 | 33.3% | 29.8% | +3.5% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 29 | 31% | 29% | +2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 54 | 81.5% | 74.9% | +6.6% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 66 | 65.2% | 65.7% | -0.5% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 83 | 55.4% | 58.2% | -2.8% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 86 | 48.8% | 52.1% | -3.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 73 | 30.1% | 47.1% | -17% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 73 | 46.6% | 43.4% | +3.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 54 | 24.1% | 39.9% | -15.8% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 39 | 38.5% | 36.7% | +1.8% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 47 | 29.8% | 34.4% | -4.6% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 34 | 32.4% | 32% | +0.4% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 37 | 35.1% | 30% | +5.1% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 93 | 53.8% | 65.2% | -11.4% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 314 | 60.2% | 58.2% | +2% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 220 | 48.2% | 52.3% | -4.1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 149 | 49.7% | 47.7% | +2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 64 | 51.6% | 43.5% | +8.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 27 | 40.7% | 40% | +0.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 72 | 52.8% | 57.5% | -4.7% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 135 | 53.3% | 52.1% | +1.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 220 | 50.9% | 47.4% | +3.5% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 183 | 38.8% | 43.3% | -4.5% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 142 | 40.8% | 39.9% | +0.9% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 60 | 50% | 36.9% | +13.1% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 24 | 41.7% | 34.5% | +7.2% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 24 | 54.2% | 32.4% | +21.8% |
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